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GRF International Task Force on the Future of the Nuclear Deal with Iran Second Meeting

GRF International Task Force on
the Future of the Nuclear Deal with Iran
Second Meeting
March 4-5, 2017


The second and final meeting of the “GRF International Task Force on the Future of the Nuclear Deal with Iran: Preserving, Solidifying and Leveraging a Diplomatic Success” was held at the Yapi Kredi Yeniköy Grove on March 4-5, 2017. The Task Force was established in 2016 to generate a constructive set of policies to maintain the momentum of and constructively steer the Joint Comprehensive Plan of Action (JCPOA) on Iran’s nuclear program, and its first meeting had taken place in Istanbul in October 2016.

Held with the participation of 12 Task Force members including GRF members as well as experts on nuclear security from France, India, Iran, Israel, Russia, the United Kingdom and the United States, the sessions were also observed by four expert rapporteurs from China, Germany, Italy and Turkey.

The meeting convened with the agenda of the changing political context surrounding the JCPOA, and addressed the challenges against the deal’s preservation as well as its use as an anchor for security and stability in the region.

The meeting began with a session entitled “Domestic Politics Jeopardizing the JCPOA”, in which the participants analyzed the extent of the JCPOA’s resilience in the face of changing political climates in the US and Iran. The participants also reflected on the appropriate mechanisms and strategies to reverse, slow down or divert political forces that fuel the opposition against the deal in Tehran and Washington.

In the second session of the meeting, entitled “E3+3-US and Preserving the JCPOA: Will they, can they?”, the main focus was on the commitment of the non-US members of the E3+3 countries who signed the deal with Iran (China, France, Germany, United Kingdom, Russia) to the preservation of the deal, especially in the case of a unilateral suspension of the deal by the US.

In the final session of the day, entitled “Can the JCPOA Survive Delayed US Sanctions Relief or New Non-Nuclear Sanctions?”, the participants discussed the ways in which delays in the accrual of the deal’s economic benefits or the imposition of new non-nuclear sanctions might undermine the JCPOA.

The first day of meetings was concluded with a formal dinner held at the Sait Halim Paşa Mansion with the participation of Ambassador Alper Coşkun, Director General for International Security Affairs at the Turkish Ministry of Foreign Affairs, as keynote speaker. During his speech, Ambassador Coşkun provided an overview of Turkey’s policies regarding the Middle East and Iran in particular.

The second day of meetings commenced with the session entitled “President Trump’s Public Condemnation of the JCPOA: Could it Motivate New Extended Negotiations with Iran?” where participants discussed whether the temporal limits of the JCPOA, which have been strongly opposed by critics amongst the senior US administration, potentially provide a basis to launch new negotiations in return for further sanctions relief.

The fifth session entitled “Imagining the Context of Future Negotiations with Iran: Is it Wiser to Negotiate an Extended Deal Sooner rather than Later?” addressed what the ideal timing would be for building on the JCPOA and negotiating a broader deal with Iran. During the sixth and last session, the Task Force discussed the first draft of the Task Force report, which will be published later this year, and made assessments on how to maintain the report’s relevance and significance in a rapidly changing political context.

Please click for the Task Force members’ list and the detailed meeting agenda.